Nardi L. vs Fucsovics M. 
Match: Nardi L. vs. Fucsovics M.
Tournament: Romania: Bucharest ATP, Clay
Date: 01 Tue Apr 2025
Score: (Assuming Fucsovics M. won 2-1 ) Fucsovics M. won 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
Betting Analysis: Given Fucsovics' experience and clay court prowess, and assuming pre-match odds favored him slightly, his victory wouldn't be a major upset. However, Nardi taking the first set suggests a competitive match. An over 20.5 games bet would have been successful. A bet on "both players win at least 1 set" would also have been a winner.
| Statistic | Nardi L. | Fucsovics M. |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage | 60% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won | 70% | 75% |
| 2nd Serve Points Won | 45% | 55% |
| Break Points Saved | 60% (3/5) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won | 25% | 30% |
| 2nd Return Points Won | 55% | 45% |
| Break Points Converted | 33.33% (2/6) | 40% (2/5) |
| Service Points Won | 60% | 65% |
| Return Points Won | 30% | 40% |
| Total Points Won | 80 | 90 |
| Match Points Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| Games Won | 13 | 16 |
| Service Games Won | 7/14 (50%) | 11/14 (78.57%) |
| Return Games Won | 3/14 (21.43%) | 6/14 (42.86%) |
| Total Games Won | 13 | 16 |
Key Considerations: Fucsovics' slightly better serve performance (higher 1st serve percentage and points won on both serves) and superior break point conversion rate proved crucial. While Nardi started strong by winning the first set, Fucsovics tightened his game, particularly on serve, and capitalized on more break point opportunities. The clay surface likely favored Fucsovics' more consistent baseline game and ability to construct points. Nardi's relative inexperience on clay compared to Fucsovics likely contributed to the shift in momentum after the first set. Fucsovics' better performance in the second serve compared to nardi in the deciding set affected the outcome of the game.