Quinn E. vs Thompson J. 
Match: Quinn E. vs. Thompson J.
Tournament: USA: Houston ATP, Clay
Date: 01 Tue Apr 2025
Result: Because this is a past match, the score would be present here. As I don't have access to real-time or historical results for the match, I cannot provide the actual score. For the purpose of this exercise, let's ASSUME Thompson J. won the match 2-1 in sets (e.g., 6-4, 3-6, 7-5).
Betting Analysis: Assuming Thompson J. was the favorite prior to the match, the outcome aligned with expectations, although the three-set victory suggests a closer contest than anticipated. A bet on Over 20.5 games would have been successful given the assumed score (6-4, 3-6, 7-5 totals 31 games). Given the three sets were played, both players won at least 1 set, thus a bet on that specific outcome would have been successful.
| Statistic | Quinn E. (Assumed Values) | Thompson J. (Assumed Values) |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 8 |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage | 62% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won | 68% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Points Won | 52% | 48% |
| Break Points Saved | 4/7 (57%) | 5/8 (63%) |
| 1st Return Points Won | 28% | 32% |
| 2nd Return Points Won | 48% | 52% |
| Break Points Converted | 3/8 (38%) | 3/7 (43%) |
| Service Points Won | 62% | 65% |
| Return Points Won | 35% | 38% |
| Total Points Won | 92 | 98 |
| Match Points Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| Games Won | 14 | 16 |
| Service Games Won | 70% | 75% |
| Return Games Won | 30% | 25% |
| Total Games Won | 14 | 16 |
Key Considerations: Based on the assumed score and data, the match was closely contested. Thompson J.'s slightly better performance on serve (higher 1st serve percentage and 1st serve points won) likely gave him a crucial edge, especially on clay where holding serve is vital. While break point conversion rates were similar, Thompson's ability to save a higher percentage of break points faced indicates greater composure under pressure. The surface condition in Houston, known for its slower clay, likely favored more patient rallies and placed a premium on court coverage and consistency. Both players likely attempted to exploit their opponent's weaker wing and implemented tactical adjustments during the match. The slightly better conversion rate from Thompson is likely the deciding factor that led him to win the match.