Tauson moneyline at -140 sees highest volume as the most played outcome with 58.3% implied probability, while Kessler at +110 is least played at 47.6%.
Kessler leads H2H 1-0 from their 2023 clay encounter (7-6(2) 6-3) with no prior hard court meetings, potentially halting Tauson's quarterfinal push amid even 2026 records (both 2-3); 25% upset probability. Confidence: 4/10.
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