Market favors Sakkari at -225 (69.2% implied probability) as the most played outcome, while Gracheva +175 (36.4%) and over 2.5 sets are less favored amid expectations of Sakkari's control.
Gracheva could upset via her recent hard-fought three-set win over ninth seed Noskova and clay win over Sakkari in 2024, potentially extending to a decider on hard despite Sakkari's prior surface edge, with 30% probability. Confidence: 5/10.
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