Prediction market trends favor Learner Tien at around -176 implied odds (63.8% probability), with Tien win as the most played outcome and Davidovich Fokina win the least played at roughly 36.2% implied probability.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina upset potential stems from his prior head-to-head win over Tien on hard court in Washington 2025 (6-2, 6-2) and recent 6-4 record in last 10 matches, potentially halting Tien's strong 8-2 streak in his last 10. Implied probability is 36.2%. Confidence: 5/10.